COVID-19 OUTBREAK IN POST-SOVIET STATES: MODELING THE BEST AND WORST POSSIBLE SCENARIOS

Published in medRxiv, 2020

Recommended citation: Issanov, A., Amanbek, Y., Abbay, A., Adambekov, S., Aljofan, M., Kashkynbayev, A., & Gaipov, A. (2020). COVID-19 OUTBREAK IN POST-SOVIET STATES: MODELING THE BEST AND WORST POSSIBLE SCENARIOS. medRxiv. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.19.20071704

“Governmental response was shown to be as an important determining factor responsible for the development of COVID-19 epidemic in Post-Soviet states. The current protection rates should be maintained to reduce active cases during upcoming 30 and 60 days. The estimated possible scenarios based on the proposed model can potentially be used by healthcare professionals from each studied Post-Soviet States as well as others to improve plans to contain the current and future epidemic.”